Three Horizons: applied decision
Discuss the dominant system, emerging experiments and preferred future as competing patterns in the present.
30 minutes
Scenario
A regional college wants AI-assisted tutoring. Existing funding rewards lecture attendance, while pilots improve access for working adults but raise privacy concerns.
- Your role
- Decision owner with responsibility for affected people
- Method
- Three Horizons
Evidence pack
Situation
A regional college wants AI-assisted tutoring. Existing funding rewards lecture attendance, while pilots improve access for working adults but raise privacy concerns.
Method constraint
Treating Horizon 3 as inevitable or labeling every shiny pilot transformative.
Constraints
- State assumptions and protect affected people.
- Do not treat the method artifact as causal proof.
Case steps
Work through each prompt using the evidence pack. These guided cases support self-directed practice; server-scored attempts are not available yet.
Frame the decision and identify the affected actors and evidence gaps.
Apply the method to compare at least two interpretations or responses.
Choose one bounded next test, its owner, safeguard and rejection signal.